Friday, March 16, 2012

Lineup Protection: An Attractive Man's Take

I've just written a Lineup Protection code that I'm pretty stoked about. I'm not sure exactly what I want from it yet,  so it's likely that I'll be adding to this page in the future. Lineup protection has been studied by men much greater than I, but they certainly weren't as good-looking. And to be quite honest, the hack stat enthusiast community could use some attractive men in their ranks, even if they are just pretending to know what they're talking about. So, that said, let's do this.

First up is Albert Pujols. He's certainly the best hitter of the generation, and he's had multiple teammates bat in front of him in the line-up through the years. This data, for reasons I won't get into, excludes the 2011 season. Here are all players who batted in front of The Machine at least 100 times in a season,  and their OPS with and without him on deck:


PUJOLS'S PROTECTEES

Monday, March 5, 2012

Run%

This is something I've been wanting to do for a while now, but just never got around to it. For the Bases Empty Bunts post, I wanted to get a feel for how fast Lee Mazzilli was, considering how effective he was at bunting for a hit. In order to do this, I wrote a code for every time a base runner had second or third base open immediately in front of him. From there we can get a more accurate estimate of how many opportunities (Opp) that runner had, how often he attempted to steal (Run%) and how often he was successful (SB%).

This system only includes double-steals when the runner in question was the lead runner. I also excluded all opportunities and attempts to steal home.

Of the top 100 base stealers since 1950, here are those who ran at least 20% of the time:

ALL-TIME RUN% LEADERS MIN 245 SB
First Last Opps Atts SBs RUN% SB%
Vince Coleman 2955 929 759 0.31 0.82
Omar Moreno 2429 664 485 0.27 0.73
Miguel Dilone 1324 345 267 0.26 0.77
Ron LeFlore 2449 592 451 0.24 0.76
Rickey Henderson 7274 1752 1419 0.24 0.81
Otis Nixon 3527 816 629 0.23 0.77
Lou Brock 5430 1254 948 0.23 0.76
Jose Reyes 1867 418 333 0.22 0.8
Bill North 2482 554 394 0.22 0.71
Gary Redus 1868 401 319 0.21 0.8
Frank Taveras 1887 403 298 0.21 0.74
Tom Goodwin 2250 478 363 0.21 0.76
Cesar Cedeno 3402 719 543 0.21 0.76
Gary Pettis 2152 454 350 0.21 0.77
Julio Cruz 2005 419 342 0.21 0.82
Carl Crawford 2458 496 406 0.2 0.82
Bert Campaneris 4213 844 647 0.2 0.77
Willie Wilson 4131 809 676 0.2 0.84
Scott Podsednik 2079 407 303 0.2 0.74